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New York, Southern Erie

Areal Flood Warning

Statement as of 9:07 AM EST on November 23, 2014

Expires 2:49 AM EST on November 25, 2014


... The Flood Warning remains in effect until 415 PM EST Monday for
Erie... northern Chautauqua... Wyoming... southern Genesee and
northwestern Cattaraugus counties...

Temperatures have steadily risen overnight with most readings in the
lower to mid 40s this morning. Temperatures will continue to climb
today reaching around 50 degrees this afternoon... before reaching
near 60 degrees on Monday.

While rainfall will generally be a third inch or less through
tonight... snowmelt is well underway and will continue through
Monday. It is this snowmelt that will ultimately cause the flooding
concerns... with the greatest amount of snowmelt occurring tonight
and Monday.

Core samples of the deep snowpack at the start of the weekend
indicated that as much as 5 to 6 inches of water was locked in
place... but as temperatures continue to climb... this water will be
released... and in some cases fairly rapidly.

Since many storm drains are snow clogged... many urban areas will
likely be the first to experience flooding with several feet of
water possibly accumulating on some stretches of Road. Residential
basements will start to flood during this time as well.

The threat for structural failure will increase through Monday.

Area tributaries... particularly Buffalo Creek... Cazenovia creek...
Cayuga creek and Ellicott creek... will take a bit longer to
experience significant rises with the potential to reach at least
minor flood stage later tonight and Monday.

In addition... very strong winds are expected to develop Monday and
Monday night. These winds could bring down some trees and power
lines resulting in scattered power outages. This will cause sump
pumps to fail.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or has been reported.
Stream rises will be slow and flash flooding is not expected.
However... all interested parties should take necessary precautions
immediately.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

Excessive runoff from heavy rainfall will cause elevated levels on
small creeks and streams... and ponding of water in urban areas...
highways... streets and underpasses as well as other poor drainage
areas and low lying spots.

Do not drive your vehicle into areas where the water covers the
roadway. The water depth may be too great to allow your car to cross
safely. Move to higher ground.


Lat... Lon 4242 7946 4250 7935 4256 7916 4271 7904
      4271 7899 4276 7889 4279 7886 4290 7891
      4301 7849 4302 7795 4253 7807 4253 7848
      4244 7877 4230 7968



639 am EST sun Nov 23 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
the Ellicott creek near Williamsville
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At 6 am Sunday the stage was 2.7 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* The river is forecast to rise above flood stage late tonight and
crest near 9.5 feet Monday morning.
* Impact... at 10.0 feet... moderate flood, extensive flooding in
Ellicott Creek Park and minor flooding in surrounding neighborhoods
in Tonawanda. Ub bike path flooded and closed. Aero drive, Holtz to
transit roads in Cheektowaga closed. Flooding around Bowmansville
fire Hall. Areas east of North Forest from Maple to French roads
subject to sewer backups.


Lat... Lon 4293 7875 4301 7889 4304 7889 4304 7875
      4295 7865 4293 7865




639 am EST sun Nov 23 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
the Cayuga creek near Lancaster
* from late tonight to late Monday night.
* At 6 am Sunday the stage was 4.5 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast... the river is expected to rise above flood stage late
tonight and crest near 9.4 feet early Monday afternoon.
* Impact... at 10.0 feet... moderate flood, flooding of backyards,
basements and streets in Village of Lancaster. Some flooding of low
lying areas in Alden, Marilla, and Cheektowaga, especially near
Bowen Road and transit Road. Some flooding possible near Union Road
too.


Lat... Lon 4287 7869 4287 7879 4290 7879 4293 7864
      4292 7848 4281 7846




639 am EST sun Nov 23 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
the Buffalo Creek near Gardenville
* from late tonight to late Monday night.
* At 6 am Sunday the stage was 2.8 feet and steady.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast... the river is expected to rise above flood stage early
Monday morning and crest near 7.8 feet Monday morning.
* Impact... at 8.0 feet... moderate flood, flooding is likely along low
lying areas near the Buffalo Creek, especially near Collins Avenue,
Elma Town Park, and in some sections of Elma Village North of the
Bowen Road bridge.


Lat... Lon 4288 7889 4288 7857 4278 7856 4278 7861
      4282 7867 4282 7887




639 am EST sun Nov 23 2014

The Flood Warning continues for
the Cazenovia creek near Ebenezer
* from late tonight to late Monday night.
* At 6 am Sunday the stage was 4.1 feet and rising.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast... the river is expected to rise above flood stage early
Monday morning and crest near 10.8 feet Monday morning.
* Impact... at 10.0 feet... flood stage, minor flooding can be expected
in low lying areas east of Orchard Park Road and south of Ridge
Road in West Seneca. Some inundation of Cazenovia Park in South
Buffalo.


Lat... Lon 4279 7876 4282 7884 4289 7884 4281 7858
      4273 7857 4275 7870




Wind Advisory, High Wind Watch

Statement as of 3:50 AM EST on November 23, 2014


... Wind Advisory in effect from midnight tonight to 9 am EST
Monday...
... High wind watch remains in effect from Monday morning through
Monday evening...

The National Weather Service in Buffalo has issued a Wind
Advisory... which is in effect from midnight tonight to 9 am EST
Monday.

* Locations... southern Erie County. Strongest winds tonight and
Monday morning will be near the Lake Erie shoreline.

* Timing... advisory level winds are expected from midnight tonight
through early Monday morning. Winds may then strengthen further
from late Monday morning through Monday evening.

* Winds... south 20 to 30 mph with gusts up to 50 mph tonight
through early Monday morning. Gusts to 60 mph possible late Monday
morning through Monday evening.

* Impacts... winds of this magnitude could bring down some trees
and power lines resulting in scattered power outages. These
winds would also make difficult travel for high profile
vehicles. In addition... Holiday decorations could be damaged
and other loose outdoor items such as trash cans could be
blown away.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A high wind watch means that the potential exists for strong
damaging winds to develop. These strong winds could bring down
trees and power lines as well as cause property damage. If a High
Wind Warning is issued... stay inside... and away from windows. Be
prepared for trees blocking roadways and power outages. Stay
tuned to weather radio or the other radio and TV stations for
further details or updates.

A Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast to be
31 to 39 mph or gusts will range between 46 and 57 mph. Winds of
these magnitudes may cause minor property damage without extra
precautions. Motorists in high profile vehicles should use
caution until the winds subside. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio
and other radio and TV stations for further details or updates.






Weather Severe Map
Alabama - Coastal Hazard Statement , Wind Advisory , Special Statement , Record Report
Alaska - Wind Advisory , Special Statement
Arizona - Lake Wind Advisory
Arkansas - Tornado Watch , Lake Wind Advisory , Public Information Statement
American Samoa - Flash Flood Warning , Flash Flood Watch
California - Wind Advisory , High Wind Warning , Lake Wind Advisory , Fire Weather Watch , Fire Weather Warning , Public Information Statement
Colorado - Winter Weather Advisory , Winter Storm Warning , Special Weather Statement , Public Information Statement
Connecticut - Public Information Statement
District of Columbia - Record Report
Florida - Tornado Watch , Coastal Hazard Statement , High Surf Advisory, Coastal Hazard Statement , Wind Advisory , Fire Weather Advisory , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Georgia - Coastal Hazard Statement , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Idaho - Winter Weather Advisory , Record Report
Indiana - Special Statement , Public Information Statement
Iowa - Special Statement
Kansas - Wind Advisory , Public Information Statement
Kentucky - Special Statement
Louisiana - Tornado Watch , Flood Warning , Coastal Flood Advisory , Lake Wind Advisory
Maryland - Record Report
Massachusetts - Coastal Flood Statement , Public Information Statement
Michigan - Flood Warning , Lakeshore Flood Advisory , Dense Fog Advisory , Special Statement
Minnesota - Wind Advisory , Dense Fog Advisory , Special Statement
Mississippi - Wind Advisory
Missouri - Public Information Statement
Montana - High Wind Watch , Lake Wind Advisory , Winter Weather Advisory , Public Information Statement
Nebraska - Flood Advisory , Wind Advisory , Public Information Statement
Nevada - Lake Wind Advisory
New Mexico - Wind Advisory , High Wind Warning
New York - Areal Flood Warning , Areal Flood Warning , High Wind Watch , Wind Advisory, High Wind Watch , Record Report , Public Information Statement
North Carolina - High Wind Warning , Public Information Statement
North Dakota - Wind Advisory
Oklahoma - Tornado Watch , Wind Advisory , Lake Wind Advisory , Record Report
Pennsylvania - Record Report
Rhode Island - Coastal Flood Statement
South Carolina - High Surf Advisory , Flash Flood Watch
South Dakota - Wind Advisory , High Wind Warning , Air Quality Alert
Tennessee - High Wind Warning , Special Statement , Public Information Statement
Texas - Tornado Watch , Wind Advisory , High Wind Warning , Lake Wind Advisory , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Utah - Winter Weather Advisory , Winter Storm Warning , Avalanche Warning , Special Weather Statement , Public Information Statement
Vermont - Public Information Statement
Virginia - Wind Advisory , High Wind Warning , Record Report , Public Information Statement
Washington - Winter Weather Advisory , Winter Storm Warning , Special Statement
West Virginia - Wind Advisory , Record Report
Wisconsin - Winter Storm Watch , Dense Fog Advisory , Special Statement
Wyoming - High Wind Warning , Winter Storm Warning , Special Weather Statement , Public Information Statement
- Tornado Watch
- Gale Watch
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